There is a tremendous, unparalleled global effort by scientists to discover and manufacture a vaccine at record speed, but the challenge before them is daunting. describes well flattening the curve etc and links to other very good articles -- now with over 10M views essential reading He predicts that if the economy were entirely reopened right now, without enough testing or contact tracing, 16 million people would be hospitalized and 5 percent would die. Health care workers are encouraged to participate by taking on the actions below—or come up with your own ideas. While initial studies are not conclusive, the National Academies of Sciences say that the virus might transmit somewhat less efficiently in environments with higher temperatures and humidity, but it is not likely this will reduce its spread significantly. One problem, here, is that convalescent serum is likely to be in short supply (given that population prevalence is on the order of 1-2% in most places). For decades Noam Chomsky has been a leading intellectual troublemaker. How long could the hammer and the dance last? The Hammer, The Dance, The Conspiracies. Companies whose profits plummet will respond by more zealously demanding concessions, busting unions, pressuring workers to work harder so they can lay off “excess” capacity, and pressing governments to cut their taxes and strip away environmental and workplace regulations. In the 19th century, topical subjects for protest in song included abolition, slavery, poverty, and the Civil War among other subjects. Coronavirus: The Hammer and the Dance What the Next 18 Months Can Look Like, if Leaders Buy Us Time the excellent Hammer and the Dance that was one of the first articles I read and put in our notes. Second, this -- " there is no evidence that someone who tests positive for antibodies is immune" -- is no longer true. "Fight the Boss, Build the Union" T-shirt. A phased reopening has to be based on the availability of PPE and testing. In the U.S., despite President Trump’s non-stop boasts, we are still facing a mass shortage of testing and there is little contact tracing. That means the virus still has a huge field to play in. There is also some potentially promising news about the use of blood serum from convalescent cases or the generation of monoclonal antibodies based on that research. The U.S. and South Korea had their first confirmed cases of the coronavirus on the same day, January 20. One epidemiologist notes that virus remains active on cardboard for up to 24 hours, so he recommended leaving Amazon boxes on your door step for a day before … Probably at least 85-90 percent of the U.S. population is still susceptible. Tens of thousands of medical workers are furloughed at the exact moment hospitals should be staffing up and training everyone in intensive care. That’s 800,000 deaths. We might be facing many months, possibly years, of seeing cities and states open up their economies, followed by eruptions in confirmed cases, followed by another lockdown. The Denier in Chief is leading the charge to get everyone back on the job. Hammer Dance This is the Hammer Dance! Most social dances are short-lived fad dances, some are line dances, and others spawn new dance styles that stay relevant even after the life of the songs they came from come to an end. There are currently no approved drugs that combat the virus itself, but there might be in the future. The tradition of protest songs in the United States is a long one that dates back to the 18th century and colonial period, the American Revolutionary War and its aftermath. It turns out that COVID-19 is much more than just a respiratory disease; it also attacks the brain, kidneys, heart, and blood vessels. The more people use transit and go to retail stores, the more the virus will spread. Stooge Karma Sutra - 16:59 6. What is fueling government officials' rush to reopen? The U.S. is millions of test kits behind what is needed to slow the virus's spread. Now the number of new confirmed cases is declining, but the city is far from an aggressive plan like South Korea's. Likewise, state governments facing massive deficits will seek to dissolve union contracts or demand concessions, try to get rid of their pension obligations (as suggested by Mitch McConnell), and gut public services. You must register to participate in this webinar. Some stood by the lines; others simply went home. Dem Jeans - 8:28 4. Learn how to pull of the MC Hammer Dance at a dance party! Here are four steps the U.S. government could take if it wanted to follow the successful models for fighting the virus being used in South Korea and Germany: Besides being inundated by often contradictory data (a normal condition in science), we acquire new data about the novel coronavirus at a rapid rate, and so some information reported mere days before becomes dated. Based on the information obtained from mass testing and tracing, the CDC should produce predictive models that show whether the spread of the disease is expected to escalate, hold steady, or diminish in the coming weeks, rather than states' determining their course of action based on competing and divergent models. While many businesses are having employees work from home or are closing down to mitigate the spread of the virus, grocery stores have been designated a “critical industry” by federal agencies. This dance consists of three steps and with a little practice is super easy to pull off. Step 1: Play music Play lively dance music to get in the mood for Hammer dancing. The Hammer and the Dance: Why Reopening Now Will Kill, Over 100 Hospitals Cut Staff as Pandemic Spreads, Interview: Noam Chomsky on How Bosses Are Making Coronavirus ‘Worse, for Their Benefit’, Please Join: National Health Care Day of Action April 15, Exclusive: Transcripts Show Disgraced UAW President Strong-Armed Board to Pick His Own Successor, WEBINAR: Organizing without a Union During the Coronavirus / Organizándose sin sindicato durante el coronavirus, WEBINAR: Don't Die for Wall Street: Essential Workers on Why Everyone Else Should Stay Home, The Danger We're Facing: A Grocery Worker Speaks Out, It's Been a Long Nightmare Before Christmas for UPS and Postal Workers, BAmazon Union: Anticipating the Battle in Bessemer, Alabama, 2020 in Review: Workers Struggle Under the Weight of the Pandemic. Harvard scientists have projected that, absent a vaccine or effective treatments, it will take two to four years of alternating between suppression and mitigation before we achieve herd immunity. The idea is to continue alternating the hammer and the dance until a vaccine is eventually developed. Main Office: 7435 Michigan Ave, Detroit, MI 48210; (313) 842-6262.East Coast Office: 104 Montgomery St, Brooklyn, NY 11225; (718) 284-4144.Labor Education and Research Project © 2005-2016. The "Hammer and the Dance" -- both the version proposed by the Imperial College and the named version proposed by Thomas Pueyo -- are meant to drive the R0 below one, and keep it there. In the absence of a comprehensive nationwide plan, if workers go back to their jobs now we will likely see further spikes in the number of cases, and more deaths. A 40-year-old who gave up a promising amateur boxing career 21 years ago is offered a path to the Olympics. SKU: MN0128331 The idea is to continue alternating the hammer and the dance until a vaccine is eventually developed." There was no shortage of news and updates every single day about the virus and its spread and new findings. As a result of testing, testing, testing, and tracing, South Korea went from a high approaching 1,000 new confirmed cases a day in late February and early March to averaging about 10 a day, as you can see in the first graph. And all workers, whether they have a union or not, should take collective action to protect themselves. This means we are nowhere close to “herd immunity", the point at which a majority of the population has developed some level of immunity. Suppression means social distancing of the entire population by closing non-essential businesses, schools, and universities—what much of the country has been experiencing since early April. The caveats are those stated: we don't yet know about asymptomatic cases, nor severe cases, nor the temporality of immunity, among other things. So we are essentially using the highest rate of confirmed cases and deaths as the new baseline—the new normal—for moving forward with the “dance” of reopening the economy.
Feminist theory and postcolonial theory share an interest in developing theoretical frameworks for describing and evaluating subjectivity comparatively, especially with regard to non-autonomous models of agency. See what Frank Hammer, Auto Workers, retired will be attending and learn more about the event taking place Apr 6 - 8, 2018 . $30 for 12 issues. Another is that employers are eager for some level of consumption to be reignited so that they can resume making profits. Learn how to do the MC Hammer dance at a party with help from one expert. Sinai Hospital in NYC found that most patients (non-critical cases) seroconverted (produced antibodies) and that these antibodies confer immunity (neutralizing antibodies). “Setelah lockdown, sudah selesaikan?” Teori The Hammer & The Dance. Bay Area Transit Unions Join Forces to Win Safety Protections and Beat Back Layoffs », 2020 in Review: Workers Struggle Under the Weight of the Pandemic », 'Nurses Over Billboards': Two-Day Strike Hits Site of New York's First COVID Outbreak », Work Is the Reason Latinos Are Getting Slammed So Hard by the Pandemic », It's Been a Long Nightmare Before Christmas for UPS and Postal Workers, BAmazon Union: Anticipating the Battle in Bessemer, Alabama, 2020 in Review: Workers Struggle Under the Weight of the Pandemic. Scientists have been studying whether any currently existing anti-viral drugs could be used with COVID-19 patients. There are no successful vaccines for any of the seven coronaviruses that infect humans and there are serious doubts among some scientists that it is even possible to vaccinate against coronaviruses. Immunity to seasonal coronaviruses (which cause the common cold) starts declining a couple of weeks after infection. The federal government squandered the time the states spent in lockdown. This means they can largely continue with business like normal—and normal was bad enough. We’ve merely plateaued the number of new cases and deaths at almost their highest level. Moving back and forth between mitigation and suppression is the approach now favored by many governments around the world and by many U.S. governors. The World Health Organization has ballparked the infected percentage of the global population at about 2 to 3 percent. This is how JP Morgan illustrated this idea. Labor Notes. A video taken by an auto worker and obtained exclusively by Labor Notes shows a rowdy and chaotic scene inside Ford’s Dearborn, Michigan Truck Plant on Wednesday as workers refused to work after a co-worker tested positive for COVID-19. mungkin perlu dilepas lalu dipukul lagi, berkali-kali sampai vaksin ditemukan. In an April 15-20 poll, 80 percent of those surveyed supported continued lockdowns. And absent a national plan to dramatically increase testing and tracing capacity overall, the number of new confirmed cases and deaths is not likely to fall if states rush to reopen their economies and employers demand that workers return to their jobs. According to research by the Imperial College of London’s COVID-19 Response Team, resuming life as normal with these mitigation protocols in place will still lead to outbreaks in workplaces, nursing homes, and communities. West Coast Emergency - 11:53 5. Even if New York City does manage to significantly reduce the spread there, the virus is spreading more rapidly in other parts of the country. https://labornotes.org/2020/05/hammer-and-dance-why-reopening-now-will-kill web search. As states begin mitigation strategies and reopening their economies, Until a vaccine or other intervention ensures safety, workers of all ages who have. Defying health experts who say we need a five-week national lockdown, Republicans and employers are pushing for workers to endanger themselves and everyone around them by returning to work in April. ». The third graph is from the Health Department of New York City, the epicenter of the disease in the United States. The coronavirus has been the leading cause of death in the United States since April 7, but scientist and doctors are only just beginning to understand it. In the second graph you see the result: the U.S. has not significantly reduced the daily average of new confirmed cases. Many other drugs are now under study and in clinical trials, but given how few anti-virals have ever been shown to be safe and effective, it may be a while before we have a proven treatment that can effectively limit the coronavirus’s ability to rampage through the body. The song features images of blue-collar workers (hammers and bells to suggest factories, etc.) It appeared as part of the sketch, "Pleasures of the Dance", which appears on Another Monty Python Record. The instrument is usually placed on a table or stand with the strings parallel to the front of the player's body. This is what is being proposed by Dr. Michael Osterholm, an infectious disease epidemiologist and director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota. The past two months have seen countless cases of companies refusing to alert their employees to COVID cases at work and forcing them to work without PPE. Low-wage workers will continue to bear the brunt. In slaughterhouses where the vast majority of workers are Black or Latino immigrants, workers have never experienced a lockdown nor any measures to slow the spread. Many states are now racing to reopen their economies, even though the daily number of new confirmed cases is holding steady nationally. James Hildreth, a leading international immunologist, told the Wall Street Journal, “I’m very cautious in telling people we will have a vaccine for Covid-19.... All the other major vaccines we have—for measles, Ebola—have taken a minimum of seven years, and some as long as 40 years.” Multiple health experts say a vaccine is unlikely anytime soon. Operations management is an area of management concerned with designing and controlling the process of production and redesigning business operations in the production of goods or services. But the U.S. has not brought new infections close to zero as JP Morgan “recommends.” We’ve merely plateaued the number of new cases and deaths, as seen above in the second graph. They do not presuppose any particular level of mortality (they make the point that such would be a POLITICAL decision). The virus is already spreading rapidly in tropical countries, and Australia and Iran saw fast distribution in warm climates. The dulcimer's strings are struck with hammers. Since 1979, Labor Notes has been the voice of union activists who want to put the movement back in the labor movement. Immunity to both the old SARS from 2002 and MERS, cousins to the coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2), has been shown to be short-lived, about one or three years. The relevant referent variable is NOT mortality but transmission, and the way this is phrased gives the impression that the models propose acceptable death rates, which they do not. Now he is helping to explain how corporations and billionaires are actually making the coronavirus pandemic worse by pursuing savage policies that benefit themselves at the expense of everyone else. Others say workers must show up for work regardless of the danger—and then not giving us the protective equipment we need. Click here for many examples and strategies. Photo: Jim West / jimwestphoto.com, cropped from original. The coronavirus has been the leading cause of death in the United States since April 7, but scientist and doctors are only just beginning to understand it. Going Hamm on It - 0:00 2. VIDEO: Ford Workers Shut Down the Line at Dearborn Truck Plant, Follow the Money: Employers Are Behind the Rush to Reopen. Instrumental Solo in C Major. The United States has 4 percent of the world’s population, but about a third of the world’s coronavirus cases. The Hammer dance was a social dance that became wildly popular and then faded as the album it was associated with, Please Hammer, Don't Hurt 'Em, lost popularity. States have been left to hunt for test kits and figure out a policy on their own. But who has a louder voice in politicians' ears, the people or the corporations? Within a week, South Korea’s government declared a national emergency and marshaled all of its resources for a coordinated effort to mass-produce test kits and then trace the contacts of infected persons going back two weeks, so the contacts could be quarantined. We still face a national shortage of COVID-19 test kits and PPE and there is no nationwide testing or contact tracing program. If you're bored with the latest moves then have some fun and try this retro style. research by the Imperial College of London’s COVID-19 Response Team. Since the decision to open up and close down is being left to the states, most of which are still struggling to obtain test kits and even begin contact tracing, there is no common understanding among government officials or the public about when a state should lift or resume lockdown measures. Link It turns out that COVID-19 is much more than just a respiratory disease; it also attacks the brain, kidneys, heart, and blood vessels. powered by Microsoft News. The picture is not bright for employers either. $30 for 12 issues. "If I Had a Hammer" was written by Pete Seeger and Lee Hays in 1949 as an anthem for many progressive concerns of the day and most specifically the Labor Movement. Gastronaut Corona Chronicles ℗ 1943350 Records DK Released on: 2020-05-18 Auto-generated by YouTube. Give $10 a month or more and get our "Fight the Boss, Build the Union" T-shirt. as a rallying call for justice and equality. TIP: To feel the spirit of the dance, put on baggy, genie-like pants, also known as Hammer pants. Remain on national lockdown until we have reduced new cases close to zero and we have a national plan in place that uses testing and tracing. 16 million people would be hospitalized and 5 percent would die. The failure to develop a successful vaccine against HIV despite decades of research is indicative of how challenging the process can be. Since 1979, Labor Notes has been the voice of union activists who want to put the movement back in the labor movement. ICUs will again be overwhelmed, thousands will die—and we'll need to lock down again. Some evidence also suggests that infected people with no symptoms or mild symptoms might not produce enough antibodies to develop immunity. Yet the U.S. is moving towards reopening the economy—which means that, at best, we will continue to see the same high number of new cases every day and that, at worst, cases and deaths will climb. ». Follow these steps to learn Hammer’s moves. Tuesday, 24 March 2020 The hammer and the dance | Red Mother #Red_Mother. Science, one of the world’s top academic journals, said that “the virus acts like no pathogen humanity has ever seen.”. Suppression means using lockdowns for as long as necessary to keep the number of new cases as close to zero as possible. If we reopen now, without nearly enough testing and virtually no contact tracing, we will have to lock down again once the next wave of the pandemic hits. It will likely depend on how much pressure is put on officials when the time comes. Nevertheless, this is good news. His books and speeches have helped to explain how a world run by corporations and billionaires has led to endless war and catastrophic climate change. Visual artist, Juan Carlos Arévalo, and choreographer, Camille Hanson, combine dance and image to harness the sensitivity of art to spark conversation about the world we live in and know most intimately during the COVID 19 pandemic. Some stood by the lines; others simply went home. To work, this program will require the hiring of. A track that gets the crowd going? The coronavirus crisis is spurring record-breaking sales for grocery store chains, straining supply chains and exhausting employees. City residents dying from the virus per capita have outpaced even Italy, the hardest hit country in Europe. This is a time of deep uncertainty. It involves the responsibility of ensuring that business operations are efficient in terms of using as few resources as needed and effective in terms of meeting customer requirements. The Hammer and The Dance. The more the virus spreads, the more our hospitals will be overrun. (South Korea did not have to resort to a country-wide lockdown like the United States did because its testing and tracing program is so thorough.). It continues to struggle to obtain the test kits needed and the state has barely begun a contact tracing program. This is a time of deep uncertainty. More than 4,300 shipbuilders at the Bath Iron Works shipyard in Maine struck for seven weeks from June to August in the largest private sector strike in the U.S. this year. Directed by Charles Herman-Wurmfeld. The company’s attempt to gut seniority, such as for overtime and Start a national program for systematic contact tracing. Old-style dulcimer music is monophonic, but more recent music and musicians experiment with playing more than one note at a time. So, I wanted to add a few tweaks to this excellent piece. Mitigation means slowing but not stopping the epidemic. Find out how to take on the boss and organize on the job in this webinar organized by Labor Notes, the Food Chain Workers Alliance, and the Pioneer Valley Workers Center. If we needed another proof that corporate interests dominate governments, this is it. Instructions. The fastest vaccine ever produced was for the mumps—and it took four years to produce. Science, one of the world’s top academic journals, said that “the virus acts like no pathogen humanity has ever seen.”. In the end, it mostly boils down to big business being prioritized over public health. That could then enable us to cautiously open the economy back up while mitigating the spread of the virus. », Labor news from labor's point of view. First, you note that, "This seesaw approach has been called "the hammer and the dance," where “the hammer” is bringing everything to a halt through lockdowns and “the dance” is accepting a relatively large number of deaths while keeping the economy humming along. Since 1979, Labor Notes has been the voice of union activists who want to put the movement back in the labor movement. If a vaccine is not going to be available any time soon, then that means our best hopes are to find drugs that slow the spread of the virus in the body—so people who do catch it don't die—and social distancing to slow the spread of the virus in the population. Bust out the parachute pants and boom box and pay tribute to one of the most famous performers in modern times with the MC Hammer Dance. To see why, it’s useful to start with an understanding of how things got so bad in the first place and why the move to reopen the economy now is so dangerous. Like every other state, New York has been forced to cope without any federal effort to standardize a response. On Thursday the Korea Centres for Disease Control and Prevention announced that the country had zero new domestic cases, despite 29 million voters participating in national elections just two weeks ago. How about a track that delivers a blow? Main Office: 7435 Michigan Ave, Detroit, MI 48210; (313) 842-6262.East Coast Office: 104 Montgomery St, Brooklyn, NY 11225; (718) 284-4144.Labor Education and Research Project © 2005-2016. is a staff writer and organizer with Labor Notes. Tidak bisa sekali pukul akan selesai. What can non-union workers do to protect themselves, their families, and the public? The White House has continually asserted that a vaccine is 12 to 18 months away, but many scientists believe that a vaccine will likely take years to develop, if one ever comes at all. Producing a vaccine by 2022 “is very optimistic and of relatively low probability,” Robert van Exan, a biologist with decades of experience in this area, told the New York Times. It's Hammer time! The Hammer and the Dance. In an April 7-12 poll, two-thirds said they were more worried about their state lifting restrictions on public activities too quickly, vs. one-third worried about “not quickly enough.”. Hammer Dance by N-Vitral & Dither (feat MC Focus), released 27 August 2018 1. A line of cars comes through a coronavirus testing site in Detroit. With mitigation, the majority of people return to work, schools and universities reopen, but we try to slow the spread of the virus through mass testing and contact tracing, home isolation of suspected cases, home quarantine of those living in the same household, and continued social distancing of the elderly and high-risk groups.
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